Thursday 10-29

The surf is chest high at the T Head and Head high to a bit Overhead Outside. With a serious rip up the beach north. Chris is attempting San Jose and will report back later.

42020 is at 10.5ft - 8 seconds.... The swell is running almost 6 feet and building so that might be enough to have some left over surf after the front.

Here is the problem : Forecast for CC and Port Aransas

Today: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 86. Windy, with a south wind between 28 and 32 mph, with gusts as high as 44 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Tonight: Occasional showers and thunderstorms. Low around 57. Windy, with a north northwest wind 9 to 12 mph increasing to between 23 and 26 mph. Winds could gust as high as 36 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

Friday: A 40 percent chance of showers, mainly before 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 58. Windy, with a north wind between 16 and 26 mph, with gusts as high as 36 mph.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 49. North wind between 8 and 13 mph.

Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 73. North wind between 8 and 11 mph.

CB

red tide again.

no st. joe for me.


toooo windy...tooo much redtide

choppppppeeeeeey

Ya everyone is coughing like your at the marley fest

so Coastal Ben - what do you think in terms of timing the frontal passage to that point where the surf is cleaned up and looking Rincon-like? or does your forecast note imply that this is unlikely to happen for this front

More broadly, coming out of Austin, I am very interested in your onsite knowledge about these fronts in general, and how the timing tends to work. So advice you can give about what to look for and avg-time windows (ex: "2+ hours after front passage is optimal" and so on) would be greatly appreciated.

Mike,

IMO, we are gonna get screwed on this one. I have it coming thru about 1am and not blowing directly offshore for very long before switching to N.

And then NNE cranking up to the 20-25 mph range for most of Friday and then Saturday NE at 10-15. So that said I think we will get hosed.

CB

The Optimum IMO is for a period of 4-5 days of a moderatly strong easterly wind pattern up to the 20mph range sustained that reaches 200+ miles offshore bringing in green water and then a front that blows wnw for a period of 4-6 hours and then stalls and comes back in the form of a warm front. Sometimes this creates a light and variable wind pattern and can produce the conditions we had two fronts ago...So listen to hear the front is going to back up as a warm front...That is when you put in for a couple days off and come down...

CB